Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 121.695717 138.461373 156.952954 178.903756 204.305367 232.840719 267.415328
2026-01-25 97.194248 118.957340 144.972454 178.527191 220.897403 272.931627 342.150515
2026-02-01 83.600673 107.756727 138.340725 180.234479 236.637879 310.665471 416.366368
2026-02-08 72.398056 97.202929 130.071502 177.317138 244.315137 337.163759 477.756454
2026-02-15 65.253614 90.755815 125.911393 178.623836 256.885160 370.739659 552.524854
2026-02-22 59.811118 85.827747 122.976876 180.828748 270.360338 406.508751 634.769009
2026-03-01 53.578039 78.974393 116.353844 176.509084 273.043429 425.677881 692.927351
2026-03-08 48.552286 73.340353 110.850991 173.072720 276.337340 445.666095 754.507964
2026-03-15 44.696371 69.081470 106.956429 171.604923 282.380109 470.459742 827.281461
2026-03-22 42.988130 68.003743 107.901316 178.023409 302.192699 520.753001 952.803526
2026-03-29 41.187750 66.579864 108.091521 183.080198 320.050408 569.540935 1082.530883
2026-04-05 38.532226 63.485235 105.179704 182.356434 327.281276 599.504575 1179.524008
2026-04-12 36.573268 61.636867 104.619823 186.537279 345.580082 655.662495 1345.703986
2026-04-19 34.019936 58.551635 101.654353 186.076438 355.213701 696.839452 1489.355680
2026-04-26 32.070454 56.340062 100.005413 187.860317 369.432191 749.307560 1668.119727
2026-05-03 29.684207 53.102521 96.131529 184.805918 373.247454 780.201283 1802.554164
2026-05-10 28.096288 51.199172 94.569961 186.173879 386.514131 833.639053 2002.335348
2026-05-17 26.764278 49.655743 93.538370 188.482294 402.082142 894.589643 2233.850224
2026-05-24 24.806215 46.726926 89.500261 183.959987 401.670478 917.916911 2370.646943
2026-05-31 23.127100 44.210361 86.064853 180.362806 402.912890 945.404077 2524.742917
2026-06-07 21.798976 42.290401 83.679503 178.826425 408.828230 985.438384 2723.499082
2026-06-14 21.338750 42.103028 84.884686 185.545290 435.731571 1083.794877 3118.626959
2026-06-21 20.770135 41.639377 85.452334 190.839576 459.811252 1178.749266 3527.029824